Nigeria has set a bold goal of growing its economy to reach $1 trillion in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by the year 2030. This ambition is rooted in the country’s desire to strengthen its economic influence, reduce poverty, and create opportunities for its large youth population. As of 2025, Nigeria’s economy is making progress, though the journey is still long.
One of the key enablers of this vision is the asset management industry, which includes mutual funds, pensions, insurance funds, and investment vehicles that pool and manage capital. This industry is growing quickly and has the potential to unlock much-needed financing for infrastructure, businesses, and innovation.
We examines Nigeria’s current economic standing, the contribution of the asset management industry, and what can be expected by 2026–2027.
Background: The $1 Trillion Goal
Where Nigeria Stands Today
As of early 2025, Nigeria’s GDP is estimated to be between $362 billion and $500 billion, depending on whether you’re using market exchange rates or purchasing power parity (PPP). Although this is still far from $1 trillion, the country is making gradual progress.
The Nigerian government has launched various economic reforms under the Eight-Point Renewed Hope Agenda, including:
- Removing fuel subsidies
- Unifying the foreign exchange rate
- Attracting foreign and local investments
- Encouraging export diversification
In Q1 2025, non-oil exports rose by 24.75%, reaching $1.79 billion, a positive sign of diversification. At the “Nigeria First” investment summit, the country received over $50 billion in investment pledges, showing strong investor interest.
However, growth remains modest. The World Bank forecasts GDP growth of around 3.7% to 3.8%, which is below the 7% annual growth target set by the government.
Asset Management Industry: A Strategic Growth Engine
The asset management industry in Nigeria is becoming one of the most promising sectors in the financial space. According to Agusto & Co., the industry is expected to exceed ₦10 trillion in assets under management (AUM) by the end of 2025. The industry has been growing at an average of 32.4% annually, driven by interest in mutual funds, pensions, and infrastructure funds.
Key segments include:
- Mutual Funds: These are growing fast. As of Q1 2025, the value of collective investment schemes reached around ₦4.94 trillion, up from ₦3.98 trillion in 2024. This shows strong confidence in savings and investment culture.
- Pension Funds: Nigeria’s pension industry continues to grow, with long-term capital that can be channeled into infrastructure and economic development.
- Infrastructure Funds and ETFs: These funds are also increasing in value, with infrastructure funds growing by 39% year-on-year.
Why This Matters
The asset management industry helps pool long-term savings from individuals and institutions. These funds can be used to finance roads, housing, energy, education, agriculture, and manufacturing — all critical to driving economic growth. According to industry experts, properly mobilized pension and mutual fund capital could be the difference-maker in achieving a $1 trillion economy.
Reforms and Policy Improvements
Regulatory Strengthening – The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is enforcing tighter governance, risk management, and reporting standards in the asset management space. These improvements are making the industry more trustworthy and appealing to both local and foreign investors.
In 2024, the passage of the new Investment and Securities Act (ISA) provided a clearer legal framework for investment activities and protected investor rights. This is key to boosting long-term confidence.
Bank Recapitalization – Another policy move with long-term economic benefits is the recapitalization of commercial banks, due for completion by March 2026. Stronger banks mean more credit available to the private sector, including asset managers and businesses needing investment capital.
Challenges to Reaching the $1 Trillion Goal
Despite these positive developments, several major obstacles remain:
- Inflation: Nigeria continues to face high inflation, which erodes savings and reduces the value of investment returns.
- Currency Fluctuations: The naira has faced devaluation and volatility, making it harder for investors to plan long-term.
- Policy Inconsistency: While some reforms have been bold, there are still concerns about changes in direction and a lack of follow-through on key economic plans.
- Security Issues: Insecurity in various parts of the country affects investor confidence and limits business activity.
These challenges must be addressed if Nigeria hopes to maintain strong economic momentum and hit its growth targets.
Outlook for 2026–2027
Looking ahead, the years 2026 and 2027 will be critical in determining whether Nigeria stays on track toward a $1 trillion economy. Here are key trends and developments to watch:
i. Sustained Economic Growth
The government aims for 7% annual growth by 2027, but many analysts predict slower rates. Whether Nigeria can reach or exceed these targets depends on:
- Effective implementation of reforms
- Continued investment in infrastructure
- Stability in global oil prices (which still affect the economy)
- Greater diversification of the economy
ii. Deeper Role for Asset Managers
As Nigeria continues to build trust in its financial systems, more Nigerians are likely to invest in mutual funds, pensions, and other long-term vehicles. Asset managers will play a crucial role in:
- Financing infrastructure
- Providing liquidity to capital markets
- Supporting new businesses and industries
- Creating jobs through investments
iii. Capital Market Expansion
Nigeria’s stock market and bond market are expected to grow, supported by stronger financial regulation and increased listings. A deeper capital market will help attract more global investment.
iv. Global Investment Opportunities
Nigeria also hopes to tap into the $128 trillion global asset market by aligning its financial systems with international standards. Success here could bring billions in foreign capital into Nigeria.
v. Political and Policy Stability
Finally, consistent policies, a stable political environment, and effective implementation will be key. Investors prefer stable environments with clear rules. Ensuring fiscal discipline and reducing debt dependency will also help.
Forward approach
Nigeria has made notable progress in its journey toward a $1 trillion economy, though there’s still a long road ahead. The asset management industry has emerged as a major contributor, with rising levels of savings, investments, and financial inclusion.
Reforms are being implemented, confidence is building, and investors are showing interest. However, key challenges like inflation, weak infrastructure, policy inconsistency, and insecurity must be tackled decisively.
The years 2026 and 2027 will be a turning point. If the government sustains reforms, encourages private sector participation, and empowers institutions like pension and mutual fund managers, Nigeria could be well on its way to becoming one of Africa’s strongest economies.
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